The Land Use in Rural New Zealand Model Version 1 (Lurnzv1): Model Description

63 Pages Posted: 22 Jun 2007

See all articles by Joanna Hendy

Joanna Hendy

Motu Economic and Public Policy Research

Suzi Kerr

Motu Economic and Public Policy Research Trust

Troy Baisden

LandCare Research

Date Written: June 2007

Abstract

This paper documents the first version of the Land Use in Rural New Zealand Model (LURNZv1). It describes the overall modelling approach, the database underlying the model, and the construction of each module within the model. The model is econometrically estimated from national time series data and spatially extrapolated using economic and geophysical variables. It is primarily a simulation model but is also set up to produce predictions based on future price scenarios. The model output includes projections of four types of rural land use under different scenarios and 25 ha grid maps of where land use, and changes in land use, are likely to occur.

Keywords: simulation model, land use, dairy, sheep, beef, forestry, reverting indigenous forest

JEL Classification: C88, Q25, Q28, R14

Suggested Citation

Hendy, Joanna and Kerr, Suzi and Baisden, Troy, The Land Use in Rural New Zealand Model Version 1 (Lurnzv1): Model Description (June 2007). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=994697 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.994697

Joanna Hendy (Contact Author)

Motu Economic and Public Policy Research ( email )

Level 1, 93 Cuba Street
P.O. Box 24390
Wellington, 6142
New Zealand

Suzi Kerr

Motu Economic and Public Policy Research Trust ( email )

Level 1, 93 Cuba Street
P.O. Box 24390
Wellington, 6142
New Zealand
+64 4 383 4250 (Phone)
+64 4 383 4270 (Fax)

Troy Baisden

LandCare Research ( email )

No Address Available

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