Interdependence between Eastern and Western European Stock Markets: Evidence from Intraday Data

Posted: 5 Jul 2007

See all articles by Balázs Égert

Balázs Égert

Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD); CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute); Université Paris X Nanterre - Department of Economics; William Davidson Institute

Evžen Kočenda

Charles University in Prague - Institute of Economic Studies; Institute of Information Theory and Automation (Czech Academy of Sciences) - Department of Econometrics; CESifo; University of Regensburg - Institute for East and Southeast European Studies; University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - The William Davidson Institute

Abstract

We analyze comovements among three stock markets in Central and Eastern Europe and, in addition, interdependence which may exist between Western European (DAX, CAC, UKX) and Central and Eastern European (BUX, PX-50, WIG-20) stock markets. The novelty of our paper rests mainly on the use of five-minute tick intraday price data from mid-2003 to early 2005 for stock indices and on the wide range of econometric techniques employed. We find no robust cointegration relationship for any of the stock index pairs or for any of the extended specifications. There are signs of short-term spillover effects both in terms of stock returns and stock price volatility. Granger causality tests show the presence of bidirectional causality for returns as well as volatility series. The results based on a VAR framework indicate a more limited number of short-term relationships among the stock markets.

Keywords: Comovements, Spillover effects, Market integration, European emerging markets, Intraday data

JEL Classification: C22, F36, G15, O16, P59

Suggested Citation

Egert, Balazs and Kocenda, Evzen, Interdependence between Eastern and Western European Stock Markets: Evidence from Intraday Data. Economic Systems, Vol. 31, No. 2, 2007. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=998442

Balazs Egert

Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) ( email )

2 rue Andre Pascal
Paris Cedex 16, 75775
France

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

Université Paris X Nanterre - Department of Economics

Nanterre Cedex, 92001
France

William Davidson Institute

724 E. University Ave.
Wyly Hall
Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1234
United States

Evzen Kocenda (Contact Author)

Charles University in Prague - Institute of Economic Studies ( email )

Opletalova St. 26
Prague, 11000
Czech Republic

HOME PAGE: http://kocenda.fsv.cuni.cz

Institute of Information Theory and Automation (Czech Academy of Sciences) - Department of Econometrics ( email )

Pod vodarenskou vezi 4
CZ-18208 Praha 8
Czech Republic

CESifo

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

University of Regensburg - Institute for East and Southeast European Studies

Landshuterstr. 4
Regensburg, 93047
Germany

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - The William Davidson Institute

724 E. University Ave.
Wyly Hall
Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1234
United States

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