Download This PaperEconometric Analysis of Microscopic Simulation Models
Quantitative Finance, volume 10, issue 10, 2010[10.1080/14697680903460176]
39 Pages Posted: 30 Oct 2014 Last revised: 20 Sep 2025
Date Written: April 28, 2010
Abstract
Microscopic simulation models are often evaluated based on visual inspection of the results. This paper presents formal econometric techniques to compare microscopic simulation (MS) models with real-life data. A related result is a methodology to compare different MS models with each other. For this purpose, possible parameters of interest, such as mean returns, or autocorrelation patterns, are classified and characterized. For each class of characteristics, the appropriate techniques are presented. We illustrate the methodology by comparing the MS model developed by He and Li [J. Econ. Dynam. Control, 2007, 31, 3396-3426, Quant. Finance, 2008, 8, 59-79] with actual data.
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