Secular Stagnation: The Long View

17 Pages Posted: 12 Jan 2015 Last revised: 7 Dec 2024

See all articles by Barry Eichengreen

Barry Eichengreen

University of California, Berkeley; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Date Written: January 2015

Abstract

Four explanations for secular stagnation are distinguished: a rise in global saving, slow population growth that makes investment less attractive, averse trends in technology and productivity growth, and a decline in the relative price of investment goods. A long view from economic history is most supportive of the last of these four views.

Suggested Citation

Eichengreen, Barry, Secular Stagnation: The Long View (January 2015). NBER Working Paper No. w20836, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2548355

Barry Eichengreen (Contact Author)

University of California, Berkeley ( email )

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Berkeley, CA 94720
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) ( email )

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
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Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

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