What Causes Labor Turnover To Vary?

43 Pages Posted: 1 Aug 2018 Last revised: 19 Dec 2025

See all articles by Edward P. Lazear

Edward P. Lazear

Stanford Graduate School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Kristin McCue

Government of the United States of America - Bureau of the Census

Date Written: July 2018

Abstract

Most turnover reflects churn, where hires replace departures. Churn varies substantially by employer, industry and worker characteristics. For example, leisure and hospitality turnover is more than double that of manufacturing. In the LEHD (QWI) data, permanent employer differences account for 36% of the variation in churn. The cost of churn is proxied by the mean wage and the benefit by the variance in wages. QWI and JOLTS data confirm predictions that high mean wage labor markets experience less churn and high wage-variance ones experience more churn. Additionally, less educated, younger and male workers have higher separation and churn rates.

Suggested Citation

Lazear, Edward P. and McCue, Kristin, What Causes Labor Turnover To Vary? (July 2018). NBER Working Paper No. w24873, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3222441

Edward P. Lazear (Contact Author)

Stanford Graduate School of Business ( email )

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National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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IZA Institute of Labor Economics

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Kristin Mccue

Government of the United States of America - Bureau of the Census ( email )

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