Supporting Seniors: How Low-Income Elderly Individuals Respond to a Retirement Support Program

Accepted in Management Science

80 Pages Posted: 14 Jul 2020 Last revised: 18 Nov 2025

See all articles by Sumit Agarwal

Sumit Agarwal

National University of Singapore

Wenlan Qian

National University of Singapore - NUS Business School

Tianyue Ruan

HKU Business School, The University of Hong Kong

Bernard Yin Yeung

National University of Singapore (NUS) - NUS Business School; SUSTECH Business School; ABFER; European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)

Date Written: November 18, 2025

Abstract

Longer life expectancy and insufficient savings expose individuals to financial vulnerability in older ages and prompt government support measures. We study a government subsidy program for the low-income elderly population in Singapore. Using comprehensive, high-frequency transaction data, we estimate a marginal propensity to consume (MPC) out of the permanent income increases of 0.7, driven by precautionary savings and bequest motives. More liquidity-constrained recipients exhibit an MPC of 1. We find no evidence of income substitution or other strategic behaviors. We discuss implications for program eligibility, payment frequency, and distribution form in policy design.

Keywords: retirement support, cash transfer, liquidity constraints, financial vulnerability in retirement, consumer finance, precautionary savings, bequest motives

JEL Classification: D12, D14, H24, H55, J14, J26

Suggested Citation

Agarwal, Sumit and Qian, Wenlan and Ruan, Tianyue and Yeung, Bernard Yin, Supporting Seniors: How Low-Income Elderly Individuals Respond to a Retirement Support Program (November 18, 2025). Accepted in Management Science, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3611637 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3611637

Sumit Agarwal

National University of Singapore ( email )

15 Kent Ridge Drive
Singapore, 117592
Singapore
8118 9025 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.ushakrisna.com

Wenlan Qian

National University of Singapore - NUS Business School ( email )

15 Kent Ridge Drive
Singapore 117592, 119245
Singapore
(65) 65163015 (Phone)

Tianyue Ruan (Contact Author)

HKU Business School, The University of Hong Kong ( email )

Hong Kong
China

HOME PAGE: http://truan.github.io/

Bernard Yin Yeung

National University of Singapore (NUS) - NUS Business School ( email )

15 Kent Ridge Drive
BIZ 1 Level 6
Singapore, 119245
Singapore
65 6516 3075 (Phone)
65 6779 1365 (Fax)

SUSTECH Business School ( email )

1088 Xueyuan Blvd
Nanshan
shenzhen, Guangdong 518055
China

ABFER ( email )

European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)

c/o the Royal Academies of Belgium
Rue Ducale 1 Hertogsstraat
1000 Brussels
Belgium

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