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Incidence and Antimicrobial Resistance of Shigella-Attributable Diarrhea in Young Children: Results from the Multi-Country Enterics for Global Health (EFGH) Shigella Surveillance Study

29 Pages Posted: 12 Aug 2025

See all articles by Mohammad Tahir Yousafzai

Mohammad Tahir Yousafzai

Aga Khan University - Department of Paediatrics & Child Health

Jennifer Cornick

University of Liverpool - Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences

Pablo Peñataro Yori

Asociación Benefica PRISMA

M. Jahangir Hossain

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia

Adama Mamby Keita

Government of Mali - Centre pour le Développement des Vaccins

Hannah E. Atlas

University of Washington

Farhana Khanam

International Centre for Diarrheal Disease Research (icddr,b)

Richard Omore

Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI)

Sean R. Galagan

University of Washington

Naveed Ahmed

Aga Khan University

Faisal Ahmmed

- Infectious Diseases Division

Alex O. Awuor

Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI)

Henry Badji

Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

Bakary Conteh

Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

Maria Garcia Quesada

Emory University - Rollins School of Public Health

Paul F. Garcia-Bardales

Asociación Benefica PRISMA

Bri'Anna Horne

- School of Medicine

Aneeta Hotwani

Aga Khan University - Infectious Disease Research Laboratory

Eric R. Houpt

University of Virginia - School of Medicine

Md. Taufiqul Islam

- Infectious Diseases Division

Khuzwayo C. Jere

University of Malawi - Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme

Jane Juma

Centre for Vaccine Development (CVD)

Jie Liu

Qingdao University

Donnie Mategula

University of Malawi - Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme

Billy Ogwel

Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI)

Caleb Okonji

Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI)

Uduma U. Onwuchekwa

Centre pour le Développement des Vaccins (CVD-Mali)

Maribel Paredes Olortegui

Asociación Benefica PRISMA

James A. Platts-Mills

University of Virginia - School of Medicine

Sonia Qureshi

Aga Khan University - Department of Paediatrics & Child Health

Nazmul Hasan Rajib

International Centre for Diarrheal Disease Research (icddr,b)

Elizabeth T. Rogawski McQuade

University of Virginia - Division of Infectious Diseases & International Health

Francesca Schiaffino

University of Virginia

Ousman Secka

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia

Samba O. Sow

Government of Mali - Centre pour le Développement des Vaccins

Desiree Witte

University of Liverpool

Karen L. Kotloff

- Department of Pediatrics

Nigel A. Cunliffe

University of Liverpool

John D. Clemens

International Vaccine Institute

Sharon M. Tennant

- School of Medicine

Farah Naz Qamar

Aga Khan University - Department of Paediatrics & Child Health

Margaret N. Kosek

University of Virginia

Patricia B. Pavlinac

University of Washington - Department of Global Health

Milagritos D. Tapia

- Department of Pediatrics

John Benjamin Ochieng

Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI)

EFGH Consortium

Independent

More...

Abstract

Background: Shigella is a leading cause of dysentery and watery diarrhea in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) with consequences beyond diarrhea, including environmental enteric dysfunction and linear growth impairment. We aimed to establish the burden, serotypes, and antibiotic resistance patterns of Shigella-diarrhea among young children in LMICs to inform vaccine trial planning and eventual vaccine introduction in high burden countries. 


Methods: The Enterics for Global Health (EFGH) study was a prospective, facility-based hybrid surveillance study conducted from June 2022 to August 2024 across seven countries: Kenya, Malawi, Mali, The Gambia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Peru. Children aged 6—35 months presenting with acute diarrhea were enrolled. Contemporaneous population enumeration and healthcare-seeking pattern ascertainment enabled care-seeking adjusted incidence estimate calculations. Shigella was deemed attributable if detected by microbiologic culture or by quantitative PCR (qPCR) using an ipaH Cycle threshold of £29·5 from rectal swabs.  Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) to commonly used antibiotics was determined by disc diffusion.

Findings: Among 9476 enrolled children, 881 (9·3%) had Shigella detected by culture and 1870 (20·0%) by qPCR  (among 9354 children with qPCR results available). S. flexneri dominated (497 [56·2%] by culture and 756 [39·4%] by qPCR), with S. flexneri 2a and 6 as the most common serotypes by both methods. Across study sites, the adjusted incidences of Shigella-diarrhea by culture and qPCR ranged from 2·68 to 11·69  and 3·49 to 26·89 per 100 child-years, respectively. Shigella isolates exhibited resistance to WHO-recommended antibiotics for dysentery with variability across sites: ciprofloxacin (37% [range 14-74%]), azithromycin (22% [range: 1-34%]), and ceftriaxone (16% [range: 0-64%]).

Interpretation: Shigella imposes a substantial burden on young children in LMICs, with its escalating antimicrobial resistance posing a serious threat to global public health. The leading quadrivalent vaccine candidates cover the majority of Shigella serotypes. Investment in Shigella vaccines and AMR monitoring should be prioritized. 

Note:
Bill & Melinda Gates grant number(s): Award numbers INV 028721, INV-041730, INV-016650, INV-031791, INV-036891, INV-036892

Data availability statement: The EFGH statistical analysis plan https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06047821) and study protocol (https://academic.oup.com/ofid/issue/11/Supplement_1) were made publicly available. The datasets were deidentified and anonymized and will be publicly available upon publication of the manuscript

© 2025 The Authors. This preprint is posted by SSRN.

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Keywords: Shigella, diarrhea, antimicrobial resistance, dysentery, vaccines

Suggested Citation

Yousafzai, Mohammad Tahir and Cornick, Jennifer and Yori, Pablo Peñataro and Hossain, M. Jahangir and Keita, Adama Mamby and Atlas, Hannah E. and Khanam, Farhana and Omore, Richard and Galagan, Sean R. and Ahmed, Naveed and Ahmmed, Faisal and Awuor, Alex O. and Badji, Henry and Conteh, Bakary and Garcia Quesada, Maria and Garcia-Bardales, Paul F. and Horne, Bri'Anna and Hotwani, Aneeta and Houpt, Eric R. and Islam, Md. Taufiqul and Jere, Khuzwayo C. and Juma, Jane and Liu, Jie and Mategula, Donnie and Ogwel, Billy and Okonji, Caleb and Onwuchekwa, Uduma U. and Paredes Olortegui, Maribel and Platts-Mills, James A. and Qureshi, Sonia and Rajib, Nazmul Hasan and Rogawski McQuade, Elizabeth T. and Schiaffino, Francesca and Secka, Ousman and Sow, Samba O. and Witte, Desiree and Kotloff, Karen L. and Cunliffe, Nigel A. and Clemens, John D. and Tennant, Sharon M. and Qamar, Farah Naz and Kosek, Margaret N. and Pavlinac, Patricia B. and Tapia, Milagritos D. and Ochieng, John Benjamin and Consortium, EFGH, Incidence and Antimicrobial Resistance of Shigella-Attributable Diarrhea in Young Children: Results from the Multi-Country Enterics for Global Health (EFGH) Shigella Surveillance Study. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5386776 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5386776

Mohammad Tahir Yousafzai

Aga Khan University - Department of Paediatrics & Child Health ( email )

Karachi
Pakistan

Jennifer Cornick

University of Liverpool - Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences ( email )

Pablo Peñataro Yori

Asociación Benefica PRISMA ( email )

M. Jahangir Hossain

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia ( email )

Adama Mamby Keita

Government of Mali - Centre pour le Développement des Vaccins ( email )

Hannah E. Atlas

University of Washington ( email )

Farhana Khanam

International Centre for Diarrheal Disease Research (icddr,b) ( email )

Richard Omore

Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI) ( email )

Sean R. Galagan

University of Washington ( email )

Naveed Ahmed

Aga Khan University ( email )

Faisal Ahmmed

- Infectious Diseases Division ( email )

Alex O. Awuor

Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI) ( email )

Henry Badji

Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine ( email )

Bakary Conteh

Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine ( email )

Maria Garcia Quesada

Emory University - Rollins School of Public Health ( email )

Atlanta, GA 30322
United States

Paul F. Garcia-Bardales

Asociación Benefica PRISMA ( email )

Bri&Apos;Anna Horne

- School of Medicine ( email )

Aneeta Hotwani

Aga Khan University - Infectious Disease Research Laboratory ( email )

Stadium Road, P.O. Box 3500
Nairobi, Sindh 74800
Kenya

Eric R. Houpt

University of Virginia - School of Medicine ( email )

Md. Taufiqul Islam

- Infectious Diseases Division ( email )

Khuzwayo C. Jere

University of Malawi - Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme ( email )

P.O. Box 30096, Chichiri
Blantyre 3, Malawi
Blantyre
Malawi

Jane Juma

Centre for Vaccine Development (CVD) ( email )

Jie Liu

Qingdao University ( email )

Donnie Mategula

University of Malawi - Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme ( email )

P.O. Box 30096, Chichiri
Blantyre 3, Malawi
Blantyre
Malawi

Billy Ogwel

Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI) ( email )

Caleb Okonji

Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI) ( email )

Uduma U. Onwuchekwa

Centre pour le Développement des Vaccins (CVD-Mali) ( email )

Maribel Paredes Olortegui

Asociación Benefica PRISMA ( email )

James A. Platts-Mills

University of Virginia - School of Medicine ( email )

Sonia Qureshi

Aga Khan University - Department of Paediatrics & Child Health ( email )

Karachi
Pakistan

Nazmul Hasan Rajib

International Centre for Diarrheal Disease Research (icddr,b) ( email )

Elizabeth T. Rogawski Mcquade

University of Virginia - Division of Infectious Diseases & International Health ( email )

Francesca Schiaffino

University of Virginia ( email )

Ousman Secka

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia ( email )

Samba O. Sow

Government of Mali - Centre pour le Développement des Vaccins ( email )

Desiree Witte

University of Liverpool

Chatham Street
Brownlow Hill
Liverpool, L69 7ZA
United Kingdom

Karen L. Kotloff

- Department of Pediatrics ( email )

United States

Nigel A. Cunliffe

University of Liverpool ( email )

John D. Clemens

International Vaccine Institute

Seoul
Korea, Republic of (South Korea)

Sharon M. Tennant

- School of Medicine ( email )

670 West Baltimore Street
Baltimore, MD 21201
United States

Farah Naz Qamar

Aga Khan University - Department of Paediatrics & Child Health ( email )

Karachi
Pakistan

Margaret N. Kosek

University of Virginia ( email )

Patricia B. Pavlinac (Contact Author)

University of Washington - Department of Global Health ( email )

Seattle, WA
United States

Milagritos D. Tapia

- Department of Pediatrics ( email )

United States

John Benjamin Ochieng

Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI) ( email )

Efgh Consortium

Independent

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