Consensus Fragility in the Age of AI: Machine-Assisted Narrative Convergence and Repricing Risk Across Financial Markets
26 Pages Posted: 27 Apr 2026
Date Written: March 16, 2026
Abstract
Recent advances in artificial intelligence have reduced the cost of summarization, interpretation, and signal extraction in financial decision-making. Yet the same tools may also compress interpretive diversity by accelerating narrative convergence across analysts, allocators, traders, and media intermediaries. This paper realized spot (DXY 100.4). Prediction markets displayed platform-local consensus with low cross-platform validation. These findings suggest that as AI systems become more deeply embedded in financial cognition, the sources of fragility may shift from information scarcity toward interpretive homogeneity.
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Financial Markets, Consensus Fragility, Narrative Convergence, Cognitive Offloading, Belief Synchronization, Prediction Markets, Cross-Asset Signals
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