Long-Run Fertility and General Equilibrium Effects of a Universal Child Voucher Program

57 Pages Posted: 10 Jul 2019 Last revised: 30 May 2025

See all articles by Evgeny Yakovlev

Evgeny Yakovlev

University of Essex; New Economic School; IZA

Ilia Sorvachev

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Date Written: May 30, 2025

Abstract

 We evaluate the effects of Maternity Capital, a universal voucher program aimed at increasing fertility in Russia. The program led to a significant rise in fertility during its first fifteen years of operation and has already contributed to higher completed fertility among a large cohort of Russian women. In addition, the program generated persistent general equilibrium effects. In the housing market, it increased prices and stimulated new housing construction. In the education sector, which had been predominantly public before the program, it encouraged the growth of the private education sector.

Keywords: Fertility, Housing, Child subsidy, Pronatalist policies, Maternity Capital, General equilibrium effects, Voucher Benefit

JEL Classification: J13, H1, J08, H5

Suggested Citation

Yakovlev, Evgeny and Sorvachev, Ilia,

Long-Run Fertility and General Equilibrium Effects of a Universal Child Voucher Program

(May 30, 2025). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3416509 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3416509

Evgeny Yakovlev (Contact Author)

University of Essex ( email )

Wivenhoe Park
Colchester, CO4 3SQ
United Kingdom

New Economic School ( email )

Skolkovskoe shosse 45
Moscow, 121343
Russia

IZA ( email )

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

Ilia Sorvachev

affiliation not provided to SSRN

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