John Muellbauer

University of Oxford - Department of Economics

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Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

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  • University of Oxford - Department of Economics

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SCHOLARLY PAPERS

43

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374

Scholarly Papers (43)

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1.

Consumer Credit Conditions in the United Kingdom

Bank of England Working Paper No. 314
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 28 Feb 2007
Emilio Fernández Corugedo and John Muellbauer
Bank of England and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 364 (91,387)
Citation 21

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2.

Household Decisions, Credit Markets and the Macroeconomy: Implications for the Design of Central Bank Models

BIS Working Paper No. 306
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 05 May 2010
John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 152 (215,557)
Citation 14

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Household decisions, housing markets, wealth, business cycle models, consumption

3.

Credit Standards and the Bubble in US House Prices: New Econometric Evidence

BIS Paper No. 64o
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 19 Jun 2012
John V. Duca, John Muellbauer and Anthony Murphy
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine
Downloads 109 (277,830)

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4.

Credit Conditions and the Real Economy: The Elephant in the Room

Downloads 108 (279,620)
Citation 7

Credit Conditions and the Real Economy: The Elephant in the Room

BIS Paper No. 64q
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 19 Jun 2012
John Muellbauer and David Williams
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - New College
Downloads 102 (292,762)

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Credit Conditions and the Real Economy: The Elephant in the Room

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8386
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 19 May 2011
John Muellbauer and David Williams
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - New College
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Consumption, credit conditions, house prices, wealth

5.

The Housing Market, Household Portfolios and the German Consumer

ECB Working Paper No. 1904
Number of pages: 72 Posted: 17 Jun 2016
Felix Geiger, John Muellbauer and Manuel Rupprecht
Deutsche Bundesbank, University of Oxford - Department of Economics and Münster University of Applied Sciences
Downloads 95 (304,620)
Citation 1

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Consumption, Credit Conditions, Credit Market Liberalization, Household Debt, Housing Collateral, Monetary Transmission

6.

Tobin LIVES: Integrating Evolving Credit Market Architecture into Flow of Funds Based Macro-Models

ECB Working Paper No. 1581
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 12 Sep 2013
John V. Duca and John Muellbauer
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 49 (433,960)

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finance and the real economy, financial crisis, consumption, credit constraints, household portfolios

7.

Forecasting (and Explaining) Us Business Cycles

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 19 Oct 2004
John Muellbauer and L. Nunziata
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Padova - Department of Economics
Downloads 33 (502,580)
Citation 1
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Business cycles, multi-step forecasting, fiscal policy, oil shocks, monetary policy

8.

Housing, Credit and Consumer Expenditure

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 6782
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 12 Jun 2008
John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 32 (507,590)
Citation 4
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Consumer expenditure, credit channel, housing wealth

9.

Migration within England and Wales and the Housing Market

Economic Outlook, Vol. 29, No. 3, pp. 9-19, July 2005
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 06 Aug 2005
Gavin Cameron, John Muellbauer and Anthony Murphy
University of Oxford - Department of Economics (Deceased), University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine
Downloads 31 (512,618)
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10.

Was There a British House Price Bubble? Evidence from a Regional Panel

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5619
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 05 Jul 2006
Gavin Cameron, John Muellbauer and Anthony Murphy
University of Oxford - Department of Economics (Deceased), University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine
Downloads 27 (534,518)
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Bubble, ripple effect, house prices

11.

Why Do Employment Rates Differ Across the Regions of Britain?

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 04 Nov 2004
John Muellbauer and Gavin Cameron
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics (Deceased)
Downloads 27 (534,518)
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12.

Credit, the Stock Market and Oil: Forecasting Us GDP

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 11 Sep 2001
John Muellbauer and L. Nunziata
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Padova - Department of Economics
Downloads 26 (540,334)
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Lucas critique, macroeconomic forecasts, monetary policy transmission, oil prices, the credit channel, the financial accelerator, US recession

13.

Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 04 Dec 2002
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 25 (546,447)
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Monetary policy transmission, multi-step forecasting, growth, structural breaks

14.

Housing Market Dynamics and Regional Migration in Britain

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5832
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 10 Nov 2006
Gavin Cameron, John Muellbauer and Anthony Murphy
University of Oxford - Department of Economics (Deceased), University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine
Downloads 24 (552,676)
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Regional migration, house prices, expected capital gains, contiguity, Great Britain, regional panel

15.

The UK and Emu: Lessons from Europe

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 23 Jun 2003
John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics
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16.

UK Household Debt: A Threat to Growth or Stability?

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 02 Feb 2005
John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 19 (584,827)
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17.

Estimates of Household Sector Wealth for South Africa, 1970-2003

Review of Income and Wealth, Vol. 52, No. 2, pp. 285-307, June 2006
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 30 May 2006
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 17 (597,872)
Citation 1
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18.

Mortgage Credit Conditions in the UK

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 02 Dec 2002
John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics
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19.

Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa: 1994-2004

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5831
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 10 Nov 2006
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 13 (625,165)
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Inflation targeting, monetary policy, South Africa

20.

Property Taxation and the Economy after the Barker Review

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 07 Mar 2005
John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 12 (632,357)
Citation 1
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21.

Estimates of Personal Sector Wealth for South Africa

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 29 Nov 2004
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 11 (639,464)
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National balance sheets, personal sector wealth, saving

22.

Shifting Credit Standards and the Boom and Bust in US House Prices

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8361
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 04 May 2011
John V. Duca, John Muellbauer and Anthony Murphy
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, University of Oxford - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Downloads 7 (668,225)
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credit standards, house prices, subprime mortgages

23.

Modelling and Forecasting UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7986
Number of pages: 85 Posted: 14 Nov 2010
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 7 (668,225)
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defaults, foreclosures, mortgage arrears, mortgage payment delinquencies, mortgage possessions, UK mortgage market, unobserved components model

24.

Inflation Dynamics and Trade Openness

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP6346
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 28 May 2008
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
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Inflation dynamics, modelling inflation, trade openness

25.

House Prices and Credit Constraints: Making Sense of the US Experience

Downloads 6 (675,655)
Citation 59

House Prices and Credit Constraints: Making Sense of the US Experience

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8360
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 04 May 2011
John V. Duca, John Muellbauer and Anthony Murphy
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, University of Oxford - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Downloads 4 (721,081)
Citation 10
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credit standards, house price to rent ratio, house prices, subprime mortgages

House Prices and Credit Constraints: Making Sense of the US Experience

The Economic Journal, Vol. 121, Issue 552, pp. 533-551, 2011
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 20 May 2011
John V. Duca and John Muellbauer
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
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26.

Credit, Housing Collateral and Consumption: Evidence from the UK, Japan and the US

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7876
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 19 Jul 2010
Janine Aron, John V. Duca, John Muellbauer, Keiko Murata and Anthony Murphy
University of Oxford - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, University of Oxford - Department of Economics, Government of Japan - Cabinet Office and University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine
Downloads 5 (683,077)
Citation 2
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consumption, credit conditions, housing collateral and housing wealth

27.

Does Aggregating Forecasts by CPI Component Improve Inflation Forecast Accuracy in South Africa?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7895
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 19 Jul 2010
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 4 (690,672)
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CPI Sub-Components, Disaggregation, Error Correction Models, Evaluating Forecasts, Model Selection, Multivariate Time Series, Sectoral Inflation

28.

New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US

Downloads 4 (690,672)
Citation 7

New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7877
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 19 Jul 2010
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 4 (721,081)
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Error Correction Models, Evaluating Forecasts, Model Selection, Multivariate Time Series

New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 75, Issue 5, pp. 637-661, 2013
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 17 Aug 2013
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
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29.

Some Issues in Modeling and Forecasting Inflation in South Africa

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7183
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 11 Mar 2009
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 4 (690,672)
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forecasting inflation, homeowner costs in the CPI, PPI inflation, South Africa

30.

Consumption, Land Prices and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Japan

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7269
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 19 May 2009
John Muellbauer and Keiko Murata
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and Government of Japan - Cabinet Office
Downloads 3 (698,828)
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interest rate effect on consumption, Japan's lost decade, Land prices and consumption, monetary transmission in Japan

31.

Monetary Policy and Inflation Modeling in a More Open Economy in South Africa

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP6992
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 02 Dec 2008
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 3 (698,828)
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inflation dynamics, modelling producer prices, trade openness

32.

Wealth, Credit Conditions and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa

Downloads 2 (708,854)
Citation 12

Wealth, Credit Conditions and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8800
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 01 Mar 2012
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 2 (741,576)
Citation 3
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consumption, credit conditions, credit market liberalisation, household debt, housing collateral, housing wealth, liquid and illiquid wealth

Wealth, Credit Conditions, and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa

Review of Income and Wealth, Vol. 59, pp. S161-S196, 2013
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 05 Sep 2013
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
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consumption, credit conditions, credit market liberalization, household debt, housing collateral, housing wealth, liquid and illiquid wealth

33.

Booms and Busts in the UK Housing Market

The Economic Journal, Vol. 107, Issue 445, pp. 1701-1727, 1997
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 28 Jan 2012
John Muellbauer and Anthony Murphy
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University College Dublin (UCD)
Downloads 2 (708,854)
Citation 9
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34.

Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Monetary Policy in South Africa

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8153
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 18 Jan 2011
Janine Aron, Greg Farrell, John Muellbauer and Peter J. N. Sinclair
University of Oxford - Department of Economics, Government of the Republic of South Africa - South African Reserve Bank, University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Birmingham - Department of Economics
Downloads 2 (708,854)
Citation 1
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asymmetic pass-through, exchange rate pass-through, exchange rate volatility, falling pass-through, import prices, monetary policy, South Africa, trade openness

35.

Macroeconomics and Consumption

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11588
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 01 Nov 2016
John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 1 (721,145)
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asset prices., Consumption, credit constraints, DSGE, finance and the real economy, financial crisis, Household portfolios, macroeconomic policy models

36.

Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9735
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 19 Nov 2013
Janine Aron, Kenneth Creamer, John Muellbauer and Neil Rankin
University of Oxford - Department of Economics, University of the Witwatersrand, University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of the Witwatersrand
Downloads 1 (721,145)
Citation 1
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consumer prices, CPI, exchange rate pass-through, exchange rate volatility, food prices, goods prices, monetary policy, services prices

37.

Credit, Housing Collateral, and Consumption: Evidence from Japan, the U.K., and the U.S.

Review of Income and Wealth, Vol. 58, Issue 3, pp. 397-423, 2012
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Aug 2012
Janine Aron, John V. Duca, John Muellbauer, Keiko Murata and Anthony Murphy
University of Oxford - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, University of Oxford - Department of Economics, Government of Japan - Cabinet Office and University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine
Downloads 1 (721,145)
Citation 3
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consumption, credit conditions, housing collateral, housing wealth

38.

Housing Markets and the Economy: The Assessment

Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Vol. 24, Issue 1, pp. 1-33, 2008
Posted: 02 Jul 2008
John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics

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house prices, consumption, monetary policy, credit conditions, institutional change

39.

Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa Since 1994

Journal of African Economies, Vol. 16, Issue 5, pp. 705-744, 2007
Posted: 30 Jun 2008
Janine Aron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics

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40.

Data Feature: Earnings Biases in the United Kingdom Regional Accounts: Some Economic Policy and Research Implications

The Economic Journal, Vol. 110, Issue 464, June 2000
Posted: 16 Aug 2000
Gavin Cameron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics (Deceased) and University of Oxford - Department of Economics

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41.

Earnings, Unemployment, and Housing: Evidence from a Panel of British Regions

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 2404
Posted: 27 Apr 2000
Gavin Cameron and John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics (Deceased) and University of Oxford - Department of Economics

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42.

The Housing Market and Regional Commuting and Migration Choices

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 1945
Posted: 25 Nov 1998
John Muellbauer and Gavin Cameron
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Oxford - Department of Economics (Deceased)

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43.

Asymmetries in Housing and Financial Market Institutions and Emu

Posted: 19 Nov 1998
Duncan Maclennan, John Muellbauer and Mark Stephens
University of Glasgow - Department of Urban Studies, University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Glasgow

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