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Trade, Exchange rate depreciation, Economic growth
Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, Financial Crises, Panel Logit, Structural Vector Autoregressions, Sign Restrictions
House Prices, Lucas Asset-Pricing Model, Rational Expectations, Near Rational Expectations
Bond and currency premia, sticky expectations, interest rate forecast errors
Conditional Predictive Ability, Model Selection, Model Averaging, Inflation Forecasts, Output Growth Forecasts
Bayesian Inference, Frequentist Inference, Partially Identified Models, Sign Restrictions, Structural VARs
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Out-of sample, point-forecast evaluation, multi-model comparison, predictive ability, direct multi-step forecasts, fixed regressors bootstrap
out-of sample, point-forecast evaluation, multi-model comparison, predictive ability, direct multi-step forecasts, fixed regressors bootstrap
Monetary Policy, Household Debt, Local Projections
