Oya Celasun

International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department

700 19th Street NW

Washington, DC 20431

United States

  • International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

22

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42

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31

Scholarly Papers (22)

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1.

Surging Energy Prices in Europe in the Aftermath of the War: How to Support the Vulnerable and Speed Up the Transition Away from Fossil Fuels

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/152
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 10 Aug 2022
Anil Ari, Nicolas Arregui, Simon Black, Oya Celasun, Dora Iakova, Aiko Mineshima, Victor Mylonas, Ian Parry, Iulia Teodoru and Karlygash Zhunussova
International Monetary Fund, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 772 (56,901)
Citation 1

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energy prices, price pass-through, household incidence, distributional analysis, social programs, carbon pricing, climate mitigation

2.

The 1994 Currency Crisis in Turkey

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 20 Apr 2016
Oya Celasun
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 623 (75,129)

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3.

Primary Surplus Behavior and Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries: A 'Fan-Chart' Approach

IMF Working Paper No. 06/67
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 26 Apr 2006
Oya Celasun, Xavier Debrun and Jonathan D. Ostry
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and Georgetown University
Downloads 393 (130,988)
Citation 9

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Public debt sustainability, fiscal reaction function, risk analysis, fan charts

4.

Capital Flows, Macroeconomic Management, and the Financial System: Turkey, 1989-97

Number of pages: 58 Posted: 20 Apr 2016
Oya Celasun, Cevdet Denizer and Dong He
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, Center for Economics and Econometrics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Monetary and Exchange Affairs Department
Downloads 347 (150,267)

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5.

Supply Bottlenecks: Where, Why, How Much, and What Next?

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/031
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 30 Mar 2022
Oya Celasun, Niels-Jakob Hansen, Aiko Mineshima, Mariano Spector and Jing Zhou
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 307 (171,235)

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Output, Inflation, Manufacturing, Supply Constraints, PPI inflation, producer price inflation, supply-shock contribution, chip shortage, industry expert, Supply shocks, Inflation, Manufacturing, Producer price indexes, Labor shortages, Global

6.

An Analysis of Money Demand and Inflation in the Islamic Republic of Iran

IMF Working Paper No. 02/205
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 14 Feb 2006
Oya Celasun and Mangal Goswami
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 307 (171,235)

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Iran, Inflation, Money Demand, Exchange Rate

7.

Exchange Rate Regime Considerations in an Oil Economy: The Case of the Islamic Republic of Iran

IMF Working Paper No. 03/26
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 28 Jan 2006
Oya Celasun
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 253 (208,517)

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Iran, exchange rate regime, real exchange rate, oil

8.

Obstacles to Disinflation: What is the Role of Fiscal Expectations?

Downloads 182 (283,443)
Citation 12

Obstacles to Disinflation: What is the Role of Fiscal Expectations?

IMF Working Paper No. 04/111
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 10 Aug 2004
Oya Celasun, Gaston Gelos and Alessandro Prati
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, Bank for International Settlements and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, Deceased
Downloads 126 (384,137)

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Disinflation, Credibility, Inflation inertia, Inflation dynamics, Expectations formation, Stabilization, Phillips Curve

Obstacles to Disinflation: What is the Role of Fiscal Expectations?

IMF Working Paper No. 04/111
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Oya Celasun, Gaston Gelos and Alessandro Prati
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, Bank for International Settlements and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, Deceased
Downloads 56 (639,959)

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Disinflation, stabilization, inflation dynamics, emerging markets, expectation formation

9.

Sovereign Debt and Corporate Borrowing Costs in Emerging Markets

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 27 Jan 2012
Senay Agca and Oya Celasun
George Washington University - School of Business, Department of Finance and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 174 (294,888)
Citation 9

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10.

On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions

IMF Working Paper No. 06/182
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 23 Aug 2006
Oya Celasun and Joong Shik Kang
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 152 (330,623)
Citation 1

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Fiscal reaction functions, panel data, dynamic models

11.

How Does Public External Debt Affect Corporate Borrowing Costs in Emerging Markets?

IMF Working Paper No. 09/266
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 08 Dec 2009
Oya Celasun and Senay Agca
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and George Washington University - School of Business, Department of Finance
Downloads 136 (361,233)

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12.

Financial Deregulation, Private Foreign Borrowing and the Risk of Sovereign Default: A Political-Economic Analysis

Frontiers in Finance and Economics, Vol. 7, No. 1, pp. 82-100, April 2010
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 18 Apr 2010
Oya Celasun and Philipp Harms
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and Study Centre Gerzensee
Downloads 116 (406,845)

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International Investment, Sovereign Risk

13.

Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries: A 'Fan Chart' Approach

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 15 Feb 2012
Xavier Debrun, Oya Celasun and Jonathan D. Ostry
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and Georgetown University
Downloads 112 (417,454)
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14.

Commodity Prices and Inflation Expectations in the United States

IMF Working Paper No. 12/89
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 10 May 2012
Oya Celasun, Roxana Mihet, Lev Ratnovski and Lev Ratnovski
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, Swiss Finance Institute - HEC Lausanne and International Monetary FundEuropean Central Bank, Financial Research Division
Downloads 110 (422,970)

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Commodity prices, Agricultural prices, External shocks, Oil prices, Price increases, inflation, monetary policy, inflation rate, aggregate demand, treasury bonds, post-crisis period, nominal interest rates, price inflation, monetary fund, monetary economics

15.

Would 'Cold Turkey' Work in Turkey?

IMF Working Paper No. 2003/049
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 02 Apr 2003
Oya Celasun, R. Gelos and Alessandro Prati
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, affiliation not provided to SSRN and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 105 (437,381)

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WP, price, cost, Turkey, variable, Inflation, inertia, price rigidities, stabilization, inflation expectation, disinflation strategy, inflation persistence, disinflation attempt, CPI index, Inflation persistence, Disinflation, Government debt management, Fiscal stance

16.

Nominal Exchange Rate Anchoring Under Inflation Inertia

IMF Working Paper No. 02/30
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 29 Jan 2006
Guillermo A. Calvo, Oya Celasun and Michael Kumhof
Columbia University - School of International & Public Affairs (SIPA), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and CEPR
Downloads 94 (471,365)

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Inflation inertia, staggered pricing, exchange rate based stabilization

17.

The U.S. Federal Debt Outlook: Reading the Tea Leaves

IMF Working Paper No. 10/62
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 22 Mar 2010
Oya Celasun and Geoffrey N. Keim
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 87 (494,773)

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Budgets, Business cycles, Debt management, Economic forecasting, Fiscal policy, Fiscal sustainability, Public debt, Sovereign debt, United States

18.

Inflation Inertia and Credible Disinflation - the Open Economy Case

NBER Working Paper No. w9557
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 06 Oct 2005 Last Revised: 14 Aug 2022
Guillermo A. Calvo, Oya Celasun and Michael Kumhof
Columbia University - School of International & Public Affairs (SIPA), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and CEPR
Downloads 82 (512,951)
Citation 1

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19.

Sticky Inflation and the Real Effects of Exchange Rate-Based Stabilization

IMF Working Paper No. 03/151
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 30 Jan 2006
Oya Celasun
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 53 (644,358)

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Disinflation, Inflation Persistence, Credibility, Mexico, Turkey

20.

The U.S. Manufacturing Recovery: Uptick or Renaissance?

IMF Working Paper No. 14/28
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 04 Mar 2014
Oya Celasun, C. Gabriel Di Bella and Tim Mahedy
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 49 (666,843)
Citation 1

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Economic growth, Productivity, Fiscal reforms, Political economy, Financial stability, Selected issues, Namibia, labor market, labor force, total factor productivity, unemployment, labor force participation, female labor force, female labor force participation, gdp growth, gdp per capita, structural unemployment, frictional unemployment, employment shares, growth accounting, sectoral employment, public employment, employment equations, recession, high unemployment, supply of labor, labor force participation rate, real gdp, growth model, youth unemployment

21.

Trading on Their Terms? Commodity Exporters in the Aftermath of the Commodity Boom

IMF Working Paper No. 16/27
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 28 Mar 2016
Aqib Aslam, Samya Beidas-Strom, Rudolfs Bems, Oya Celasun, Sinem Kılıç Çelik and Zsoka Koczan
University of Cambridge - Faculty of Economics and Politics, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 47 (678,790)

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Resource Boom, commodity, output, trade, price, prices, Global Commodity Crises, Resource Booms, All Countries,

22.

Cars and the Green Transition: Challenges and Opportunities for European Workers

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/116
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 09 Jun 2023
Oya Celasun, Galen Sher, Petia B. Topalova and Jing Zhou
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 29 (805,876)

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Electric vehicle, employment, green transition, labor market policy