London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Department of Non-Communicable Diseases Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, University of Oxford - Bennett Institute of Applied Data Science, University of Oxford - Bennett Institute of Applied Data Science, University of Oxford - Bennett Institute of Applied Data Science, University of New South Wales (UNSW) - School of Population Health, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Oxford, University of Oxford - Bennett Institute of Applied Data Science, University of Oxford - Bennett Institute of Applied Data Science, University of Oxford, University of Oxford - Bennett Institute of Applied Data Science, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, King’s College London, National Institute for Health and Care Excellence, National Institute for Health and Care Excellence, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine

MRC/UVRI & LSHTM Uganda Research Unit, MRC/UVRI and LSHTM Research Unit, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine - Uganda Research Unit, MRC/UVRI and LSHTM Research Unit, MRC/UVRI and LSHTM Research Unit, MRC/UVRI and LSHTM Research Unit, MRC/UVRI and LSHTM Research Unit, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Faculty of Epidemiology and Population, Health, MRC/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit and London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Robert Koch Institute, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases