Manipulated News Model: Electoral Competition and Mass Media

98 Pages Posted: 3 Mar 2015 Last revised: 30 Sep 2018

Date Written: September 22, 2018

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between media manipulation, the strategic suppression of relevant information by mass media, and self-mediatization, the strategic exploitation of media coverage by candidates, in elections. In the model, a voter cannot directly observe the policies proposed by two office-motivated candidates. The voter learns this information through media reports before voting takes place, while the media outlet suppresses some of this information. Because the voter's decision-making could be incorrect (direct distortion), the candidates have an incentive to win the election by influencing the media coverage through policy settings (indirect distortion). As a result, policy convergence to the voter's ideal policy occurs if and only if the media bias is sufficiently small. We then characterize the set of equilibria in terms of the degree of distortion. The results suggest that if either strategic media manipulation or competition among the candidates is omitted, then the distortion is nonnegligibly misspecified.

Keywords: Downsian voting model; media manipulation; self-mediatization; persuasion games; direct/indirect distortion; equilibrium set; misspecification

JEL Classification: C72, D72, D82

Suggested Citation

Miura, Shintaro, Manipulated News Model: Electoral Competition and Mass Media (September 22, 2018). Games and Economic Behavior, Forthcoming, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2571952 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2571952

Shintaro Miura (Contact Author)

Kanagawa University ( email )

Kanagawa-ku, Yokohama City 221-8686
Japan

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