Labor Productivity, Effort and the Euro Area Business Cycle

30 Pages Posted: 20 Dec 2019

See all articles by Vivien Lewis

Vivien Lewis

Research Centre

Stefania Villa

Bank of Italy

Maik H. Wolters

University of Kiel; Kiel Institute for the World Economy - IFW

Date Written: December 20, 2019

Abstract

The Euro Area is characterized by little variation in unemployment and strongly procyclical labor productivity. We capture both characteristics in a New Keynesian business cycle model with labor search frictions, where labor can vary along three margins: employment, hours, and effort. We estimate the model with Bayesian methods and find evidence for a significant use of the effort margin in generating procyclical productivity. We show that a model with labor effort is more successful at matching the business cycle facts than is one with variable capital utilization or dominant technology shocks. Finally, we demonstrate that effort dampens the response of inflation to exogenous shocks.

Keywords: effort,labor utilization,labor productivity,inflation

JEL Classification: E30,E50,E60

Suggested Citation

Lewis, Vivien and Villa, Stefania and Wolters, Maik H., Labor Productivity, Effort and the Euro Area Business Cycle (December 20, 2019). Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 44/2019, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3507724 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3507724

Vivien Lewis (Contact Author)

Research Centre ( email )

Wilhelm-Epstein-Str. 14
Frankfurt/Main, 60431
Germany

Stefania Villa

Bank of Italy ( email )

Via Nazionale 91
Rome, 00184
Italy

Maik H. Wolters

University of Kiel ( email )

Olshausenstr. 40
D-24118 Kiel, Schleswig-Holstein 24118
Germany

Kiel Institute for the World Economy - IFW ( email )

United States

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