A Worldwide Assessment of COVID-19 Pandemic-Policy Fatigue

133 Pages Posted: 1 Feb 2021

See all articles by Anna Petherick

Anna Petherick

University of Oxford - Blavatnik School of Government

Rafael Goldszmidt

Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)

Eduardo B. Andrade

FGV/EBAPE

Rodrigo Furst

Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV) - Brazilian School of Public and Business Administration (EBAPE)

Anna Pott

Independent

Andrew Wood

University of Oxford - Department of Zoology

Date Written: January 27, 2021

Abstract

As the COVID-19 pandemic lingers, signs of “pandemic-policy fatigue” have raised worldwide concerns. But the phenomenon itself is yet to be thoroughly defined, documented, and delved into. Based on self-reported behaviours from samples of 238,797 respondents, representative of the populations of 14 countries, as well as global mobility and policy data, we systematically examine the prevalence and shape of people’s alleged gradual reduction in adherence to governments’ protective-behaviour policies against COVID-19. Our results show that from March through December 2020, pandemic-policy fatigue was empirically meaningful and geographically widespread. It emerged for high-cost and sensitising behaviours (physical distancing) but not for low-cost and habituating ones (mask wearing), and was less intense among retired people, people with chronic diseases, and in countries with high interpersonal trust. Particularly due to fatigue reversal patterns in high- and upper-middle-income countries, we observe an arch rather than a monotonic decline in global pandemic-policy fatigue.

Keywords: covid, compliance, fatigue, policy, mask, trust, interpersonal, institutional, income, gender, age, physical distancing, chronic disease

JEL Classification: I12, I18, Z18

Suggested Citation

Petherick, Anna and Goldszmidt, Rafael and Andrade, Eduardo B. and Furst, Rodrigo and Pott, Anna and Wood, Andrew, A Worldwide Assessment of COVID-19 Pandemic-Policy Fatigue (January 27, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3774252 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3774252

Anna Petherick (Contact Author)

University of Oxford - Blavatnik School of Government ( email )

10 Merton St
Oxford, Oxfordshire OX1 4JJ
United Kingdom

Rafael Goldszmidt

Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV) ( email )

Rio de Janeiro
Brazil

Eduardo B. Andrade

FGV/EBAPE ( email )

R. Jornalista Orlando Dantas 30
Botafogo
Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro 22231-010
Brazil

Rodrigo Furst

Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV) - Brazilian School of Public and Business Administration (EBAPE) ( email )

Brazil

Anna Pott

Independent ( email )

Andrew Wood

University of Oxford - Department of Zoology ( email )

New Radcliffe House
Radcliffe Observatory Quarter
Oxford, OX13 5QL
United Kingdom

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