'Long GFC'? The Global Financial Crisis, Health Care, and COVID-19 Deaths

Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 22-44

Economic Inquiry, Forthcoming

59 Pages Posted: 6 Jun 2022 Last revised: 2 Nov 2023

See all articles by Antonio Moreno

Antonio Moreno

School of Economics and Business, University of Navarra

Steven Ongena

University of Zurich - Department Finance; Swiss Finance Institute; KU Leuven; NTNU Business School; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Alexia Ventula Veghazy

European Central Bank (ECB)

Alexander F. Wagner

University of Zurich - Department of Finance; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI); Swiss Finance Institute

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: May 25, 2022

Abstract

Do financial crises affect long-term public health? To answer this question, we study the connection between the 2007-2009 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the 2020-2022 pandemic. Specifically, we examine the relation between macroeconomic and financial losses derived from the GFC, and the health outcomes associated with the first wave of the pandemic. At the European level, countries more affected by the financial crisis had more deaths relative to coronavirus cases. An analogous relation emerges across Spanish provinces and US states. Part of the transmission from finance to health outcomes appears to have occurred through cross-sectional differences in health care facilities.

Note:
Funding Information: Ongena acknowledges financial support from grant ERC ADG 2016 - GA 740272 lending from the European Research Council.

Conflict of Interests: We declare that we have no relevant or material financial interests that relate to the research described in this paper.

Keywords: Global Financial Crisis (GFC); COVID-19; local sovereign debt; death ratio; curative beds

JEL Classification: I10, G21, H1

Suggested Citation

Moreno, Antonio and Ongena, Steven R. G. and Veghazy, Alexia Ventula and Wagner, Alexander F., 'Long GFC'? The Global Financial Crisis, Health Care, and COVID-19 Deaths (May 25, 2022). Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 22-44, Economic Inquiry, Forthcoming, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4119672 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4119672

Antonio Moreno

School of Economics and Business, University of Navarra ( email )

Ed. Amigos
Pamplona, Navarra 31009
Spain

Steven R. G. Ongena (Contact Author)

University of Zurich - Department Finance ( email )

Schönberggasse 1
Zürich, 8001
Switzerland

Swiss Finance Institute

c/o University of Geneva
40, Bd du Pont-d'Arve
CH-1211 Geneva 4
Switzerland

KU Leuven ( email )

Oude Markt 13
Leuven, Vlaams-Brabant 3000
Belgium

NTNU Business School ( email )

Norway

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

Alexia Ventula Veghazy

European Central Bank (ECB) ( email )

Sonnemannstrasse 22
Frankfurt am Main, 60314
Germany

Alexander F. Wagner

University of Zurich - Department of Finance ( email )

Plattenstr 32
Zurich, 8032
Switzerland

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI) ( email )

c/o the Royal Academies of Belgium
Rue Ducale 1 Hertogsstraat
1000 Brussels
Belgium

Swiss Finance Institute ( email )

Switzerland

HOME PAGE: http://www.alex-wagner.com

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