Integrated Modeling of Nature's Role in Human Wellbeing: A Research Agenda

33 Pages Posted: 28 Dec 2023

See all articles by Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer

Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Stephen Polasky

University of Minnesota, Twin Cities - Department of Applied Economics

Rob Alkemade

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Neil Burgess

affiliation not provided to SSRN

William W. L. Cheung

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Ingo Fetzer

Stockholm University - Stockholm Resilience Center

Mike Harfoot

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Thomas W. Hertel

Purdue University - Center for Global Trade Analysis; Center for Robust Decisionmaking on Climate & Energy Policy (RDCEP)

Samantha Hill

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Justin A. Johnson

University of Minnesota - St. Paul - Institute on the Environment

Jan Janse

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Patrick Jeetze

affiliation not provided to SSRN

HyeJin Kim

UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology

Jan Kuiper

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Eric V. Lonsdorf

Emory University

David Leclère

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Mark Mulligan

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Henrique Pereira

German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig

Garry Peterson

Stockholm University - Stockholm Resilience Center

Alexander Popp

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Stephanie Roe

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Aafke M. Schipper

Radboud University Nijmegen - Department of Environmental Science

Tord Snäll

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Arnout van Soesbergen

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Aline Soterroni

University of Oxford

Elke Stehfest

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Detlef van Vuuren

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Piero Visconti

University College London - Centre for Biodiversity and Environment Research; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

Lan Wang-Erlandsson

Stockholm University - Stockholm Resilience Center

Geoff Wells

Stockholm University - Stockholm Resilience Center; McGill University; University of Edinburgh

Abstract

Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for improving our understanding of interconnected social-economic-ecological systems, and for analyzing how policy alternatives could shift future trajectories towards more sustainable development. Despite recent scientific and technological advances, key gaps remain in the scientific community’s ability to deliver information to decision-makers at the pace and scale needed to address sustainability challenges. We identify five research frontiers for integrated social-economic-ecological modeling that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services: 1) downscaling impacts of direct and indirect drivers on ecosystems; 2) incorporating long-term feedbacks in ecosystems; 3) linking ecological impacts to social and economic impacts, 4) disaggregating outcomes for distributional equity considerations, 5) incorporating ecological feedbacks within the social-economic system. We discuss challenges and progress along each of these five frontiers, and the science-policy linkages needed to move new research and information into action.

Keywords: integrated assessment modeling, Ecosystem services, Biodiversity, sustainable development, land-use change, Climate change

Suggested Citation

Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca and Polasky, Stephen and Alkemade, Rob and Burgess, Neil and Cheung, William W. L. and Fetzer, Ingo and Harfoot, Mike and Hertel, Thomas W. and Hill, Samantha and Johnson, Justin A. and Janse, Jan and Jeetze, Patrick and Kim, HyeJin and Kuiper, Jan and Lonsdorf, Eric V. and Leclère, David and Mulligan, Mark and Pereira, Henrique and Peterson, Garry and Popp, Alexander and Roe, Stephanie and Schipper, Aafke M. and Snäll, Tord and van Soesbergen, Arnout and Soterroni, Aline and Stehfest, Elke and van Vuuren, Detlef and Visconti, Piero and Wang-Erlandsson, Lan and Wells, Geoff, Integrated Modeling of Nature's Role in Human Wellbeing: A Research Agenda. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4678389 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4678389

Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer (Contact Author)

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Stephen Polasky

University of Minnesota, Twin Cities - Department of Applied Economics ( email )

1994 Buford Avenue
St. Paul, MN 55108
United States
612-625-9213 (Phone)
612-625-2729 (Fax)

Rob Alkemade

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Neil Burgess

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

William W. L. Cheung

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Ingo Fetzer

Stockholm University - Stockholm Resilience Center

Mike Harfoot

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Thomas W. Hertel

Purdue University - Center for Global Trade Analysis ( email )

Department of Agricultural Economics
1145 Krannert Building
West Lafayette, IN 47907-1145
United States
765-494-4199 (Phone)
765-494-9176 (Fax)

Center for Robust Decisionmaking on Climate & Energy Policy (RDCEP) ( email )

5735 S. Ellis Street
Chicago, IL 60637
United States

Samantha Hill

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Justin A. Johnson

University of Minnesota - St. Paul - Institute on the Environment ( email )

Jan Janse

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Patrick Jeetze

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

HyeJin Kim

UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology ( email )

UK

Jan Kuiper

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Eric V. Lonsdorf

Emory University ( email )

201 Dowman Drive
Atlanta, GA 30322
United States

David Leclère

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Mark Mulligan

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Henrique Pereira

German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig ( email )

Deutscher Platz 5e
Leipzig, 04103
Germany

Garry Peterson

Stockholm University - Stockholm Resilience Center ( email )

Kräftriket 2B
Stockholm, SE-114 19
Sweden

Alexander Popp

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Stephanie Roe

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Aafke M. Schipper

Radboud University Nijmegen - Department of Environmental Science ( email )

Comeniuslaan 4, 6525 HP
Nijmegen
Netherlands

Tord Snäll

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Arnout Van Soesbergen

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Aline Soterroni

University of Oxford ( email )

Mansfield Road
Oxford, OX1 4AU
United Kingdom

Elke Stehfest

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Detlef Van Vuuren

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

No Address Available

Piero Visconti

University College London - Centre for Biodiversity and Environment Research ( email )

United Kingdom

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) ( email )

Schlossplatz 1
Laxenburg, A-2361
Austria

Lan Wang-Erlandsson

Stockholm University - Stockholm Resilience Center ( email )

Geoff Wells

Stockholm University - Stockholm Resilience Center ( email )

Kräftriket 2B
Stockholm, SE-114 19
Sweden

McGill University ( email )

1001 Sherbrooke St. W
Montreal, Quebec H3A 1G5
Canada

University of Edinburgh ( email )

Old College
South Bridge
Edinburgh, Scotland EH8 9JY
United Kingdom

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