
Preprints with The Lancet is a collaboration between The Lancet Group of journals and SSRN to facilitate the open sharing of preprints for early engagement, community comment, and collaboration. Preprints available here are not Lancet publications or necessarily under review with a Lancet journal. These preprints are early-stage research papers that have not been peer-reviewed. The usual SSRN checks and a Lancet-specific check for appropriateness and transparency have been applied. The findings should not be used for clinical or public health decision-making or presented without highlighting these facts. For more information, please see the FAQs.
Association of Carbohydrates, Fats, and Protein Intake with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Prospective Cohort Study of UK Biobank Participants
24 Pages Posted: 5 Jan 2024
More...Abstract
Background: This study aimed to investigate the relationship between macronutrient intake and the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).
Methods: This study analyzed 192,402 participants from the UK Biobank who completed at least one 24-hour dietary recall questionnaire. Restricted cubic splines (four-knot points) in the COX proportional hazards model were used to evaluate the non-linear relationships between macronutrients and T2DM. A multivariable nutrient density model was used to estimate the relationship between the isocaloric replacement of macronutrients and T2DM.
Findings: During a median of 12·4 years of follow-up, 4,614 incident cases of T2DM were documented. The relationships between many macronutrients and T2DM were nonlinear, with sugars exhibiting a possible "wide U-shaped" pattern. A higher intake of protein (average HR 1·19, 95%CI: 1·02-1·38 (>22% vs 16% of energy)), polyunsaturated fat (average HR 1·27, 95%CI: 1·09-1·47 (10-15% vs 6% of energy)), starch (average HR 1·22, 95%CI: 1·05-1·42 (>30% vs 25% of energy)), and sugars (average HR 1·26, 95%CI: 1·04-1·53 (>40% vs 30% of energy)) was positively related to a higher risk of T2DM. A lower intake of monounsaturated fat (average HR 1·21, 95%CI: 1·04-1·40 (5-10% vs 14% of energy)) and fiber (average HR 1·45, 95%CI: 1·29-1·64 (<13 vs 16 g per day)) was related to a higher risk of T2DM. Besides, the impact of macronutrients on T2DM might vary across different total energy intake subgroups and gender subgroups.
Interpretation: Altering the proportion of macronutrient intake without restricting total energy intake could decrease the risk of incident T2DM.
Funding: This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (82130025).
Declaration of Interest: All authors declare no competing interests.
Ethical Approval: The UK Biobank received ethical approval from the North West Multicenter Research Ethics Committee, Manchester, UK (REC reference for UK Biobank 11/NW/0382), and all participants provided written informed consent.
Keywords: macronutrient, carbohydrate, fat, protein, type 2 diabetes mellitus
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation