What Makes a Stock Risky? Evidence from Sell-Side Analysts' Risk Ratings
58 Pages Posted: 2 Feb 2005
Daphne Lui
ESSEC Business School
Stanimir Markov
University of Texas at Dallas - Naveen Jindal School of Management
Ane Tamayo
London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)
Date Written: September 12, 2006
Abstract
We examine the determinants and the informativeness of financial analysts' risk ratings using a large sample of research reports issued by Salomon Smith Barney, now Citigroup. We find that the cross-sectional variation in risk ratings is largely explained by variables commonly viewed as risk proxies such as idiosyncratic risk, size, book-to-market and leverage. In addition, earnings-based measures of risk such as earnings quality and accounting losses also contribute to explaining the cross-sectional variation in the risk ratings. Finally, we document that the risk ratings can be used to predict future return volatility after controlling for other predictors of future volatility. We conclude that analysts play an important role as providers of information about investment risk.
Keywords: Risk, mispricing, volatility, financial analysts, information
JEL Classification: G14, G29, M41
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Daphne Lui
ESSEC Business School ( email )
Av Bernard Hirsch
Cergy-Pontoise 95021
France
Stanimir Markov
University of Texas at Dallas - Naveen Jindal School of Management ( email )
P.O. Box 830688
Richardson, TX 75083-0688
United States
972 883 5166 (Phone)
Ane Miren Tamayo (Contact Author)
London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) ( email )
Houghton Street
London, WC2A 2AE
United Kingdom
+44 (0)20 78494689 (Phone)
Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )
London
United Kingdom
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