Christopher Prosser

University of Manchester

Research Fellow

Oxford Road

Manchester, M13 9PL

United Kingdom

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

12

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Scholarly Papers (12)

1.

Missing Non-Voters and Misweighted Samples: Explaining the 2015 Great British Polling Miss

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 15 Jul 2015 Last Revised: 13 Jan 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 384 (14,417)

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polling miss; british election 2015; differential turnout; shy tories; late swing; don't know; representative samples; survey weighting; online polling; question ordering; survey methodology; political polling; public opinion

2.

Constructing Continuous Household Income Measurement on the British Election Study Internet Panel

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 04 May 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (554,467)

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3.

Spurious Time Trends Explain the Relationship between Survey Nonresponse and Mass Polarization: A Comment on Cavari and Freedman (2018)

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 14 Mar 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (203,301)

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Polarization, non-response bias, spurious correlation, time trend

4.

Tremors But No Youthquake: Measuring Changes in the Age and Turnout Gradients at the 2015 and 2017 British General Elections

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 06 Feb 2018
University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine
Downloads 0 (12,109)

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Turnout, Survey weighting, Ecological Fallacy, British politics

5.

Aggregate Turnout Is Mismeasured

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 12 Jan 2018 Last Revised: 06 Feb 2018
University of Manchester, University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (19,025)

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turnout, vep, vap, idea, aggregate, comparative politics, error, measurement, bias

6.

Authoritarianism, Social Structure and Economic Policy Preferences

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 16 Apr 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (301,177)

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authoritarianism, left right, dimensions, public opinions, british elections, elite, mass, libertarianism

7.

Strategic Support and Electoral Expectations: Did Voters Choose Brexit and Corbyn Because They Expected Them to Lose?

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 04 Aug 2017
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (148,545)

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expressive voting, British politics, expectations, EU referendum, Brexit, British Election Study

8.

Twitter and Facebook are Not Representative of the General Population: Political Attitudes and Demographics of Social Media Users

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 09 Jun 2016
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (49,342)

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9.

When Attitudes and Behaviour Collide: How the Scottish Independence Referendum Cost Labour

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 28 Apr 2016
Edward A. Fieldhouse and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (127,288)

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referendum, realignment, social identity, Scottish National Party, Labour Party, British politics, Scottish politics

10.

Correcting Polling Error in Over-Engaged Samples Using Representative Turnout Weighting

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 24 Jan 2016
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (216,319)

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polling miss; british election 2015; representative samples; survey weighting; online polling; survey methodology; political polling; public opinion

11.

Brexit or Corbyn? Campaign and Inter-Election Vote Switching in the 2017 UK General Election

Jonathan Mellon, Geoffrey Evans, Edward Fieldhouse, Jane Green, Christopher Prosser; Brexit or Corbyn? Campaign and Inter-Election Vote Switching in the 2017 UK General Election, Parliamentary Affairs, , gsy001, https://doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsy001
Posted: 21 Nov 2017
University of Manchester, University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 397

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2017 british election, british election study, vote switching, UKIP, Brexit

12.

The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses

Prosser, C., & Mellon, J. (2018). The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses. Government and Opposition, 1-34. doi:10.1017/gov.2018.7
Number of pages: 27
Christopher Prosser and Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0

Abstract:

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polling, survey error, non-probability samples, late swing, shy voters, turnout filtering, representative samples, survey weighting