Christopher Prosser

University of Manchester

Research Fellow

Oxford Road

Manchester, M13 9PL

United Kingdom

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

13

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CITATIONS

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Scholarly Papers (13)

1.

Tremors But No Youthquake: Measuring Changes in the Age and Turnout Gradients at the 2015 and 2017 British General Elections

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 06 Feb 2018
University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine
Downloads 1,878 (7,825)

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Turnout, Survey weighting, Ecological Fallacy, British politics

2.

Missing Non-Voters and Misweighted Samples: Explaining the 2015 Great British Polling Miss

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 15 Jul 2015 Last Revised: 13 Jan 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 1,228 (15,469)

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polling miss; british election 2015; differential turnout; shy tories; late swing; don't know; representative samples; survey weighting; online polling; question ordering; survey methodology; political polling; public opinion

3.

Aggregate Turnout Is Mismeasured

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 12 Jan 2018 Last Revised: 06 Feb 2018
University of Manchester, University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 1,114 (17,947)

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turnout, vep, vap, idea, aggregate, comparative politics, error, measurement, bias

4.

Brexit or Corbyn? Campaign and Inter-Election Vote Switching in the 2017 UK General Election

Jonathan Mellon, Geoffrey Evans, Edward Fieldhouse, Jane Green, Christopher Prosser; Brexit or Corbyn? Campaign and Inter-Election Vote Switching in the 2017 UK General Election, Parliamentary Affairs, DOI: org/10.1093/pa/gsy001
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 21 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 28 May 2018
University of Manchester, University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 620 (41,026)

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2017 British election, british election study, vote switching, UKIP, Brexit

5.

Twitter and Facebook are Not Representative of the General Population: Political Attitudes and Demographics of Social Media Users

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 09 Jun 2016
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 540 (49,043)

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6.

Mainstream Protest Voting: Did Voters Choose Brexit and Corbyn because they expected them to lose?

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 04 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 10 Jun 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 278 (106,943)

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expressive voting, British politics, expectations, EU referendum, Brexit, British Election Study

7.

When Attitudes and Behaviour Collide: How the Scottish Independence Referendum Cost Labour

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 28 Apr 2016
Edward A. Fieldhouse and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 242 (123,483)

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referendum, realignment, social identity, Scottish National Party, Labour Party, British politics, Scottish politics

8.

Spurious Time Trends Explain the Relationship between Survey Nonresponse and Mass Polarization: A Comment on Cavari and Freedman (2018)

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 14 Mar 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 140 (202,217)

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Polarization, non-response bias, spurious correlation, time trend

9.

Correcting Polling Error in Over-Engaged Samples Using Representative Turnout Weighting

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 24 Jan 2016
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 126 (219,766)

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polling miss; british election 2015; representative samples; survey weighting; online polling; survey methodology; political polling; public opinion

10.

Authoritarianism, Social Structure and Economic Policy Preferences

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 16 Apr 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 99 (261,207)

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authoritarianism, left right, dimensions, public opinions, british elections, elite, mass, libertarianism

11.

Which Promises Actually Matter? Understanding Promissory Representation with Conjoint Analysis of Election Pledges

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 13 Nov 2018
Jonathan Mellon, Christopher Prosser, Jordan Urban and Adam Feldman
University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Cambridge and University of Warwick
Downloads 72 (317,190)

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promise keeping, promissory representation, UK politics, manifestos, pledge fulfillment, brexit, EU

12.

The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses

Prosser, C., & Mellon, J. (2018). The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses. Government and Opposition, 1-34. DOI:10.1017/gov.2018.7
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 04 Jun 2018
Christopher Prosser and Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 48 (386,335)

Abstract:

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polling, survey error, non-probability samples, late swing, shy voters, turnout filtering, representative samples, survey weighting

13.

Constructing Continuous Household Income Measurement on the British Election Study Internet Panel

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 04 May 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 11 (561,529)

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