Christopher Prosser

University of Manchester

Research Fellow

Oxford Road

Manchester, M13 9PL

United Kingdom

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

13

DOWNLOADS
Rank 6,440

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 6,440

in Total Papers Downloads

7,037

SSRN CITATIONS

2

CROSSREF CITATIONS

5

Scholarly Papers (13)

1.

Tremors But No Youthquake: Measuring Changes in the Age and Turnout Gradients at the 2015 and 2017 British General Elections

Number of pages: 54 Posted: 06 Feb 2018 Last Revised: 10 Feb 2020
University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine
Downloads 2,255 (6,208)
Citation 10

Abstract:

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Turnout, Survey weighting, Ecological Fallacy, British politics

2.

Missing Non-Voters and Misweighted Samples: Explaining the 2015 Great British Polling Miss

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 15 Jul 2015 Last Revised: 13 Jan 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 1,243 (16,321)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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polling miss; british election 2015; differential turnout; shy tories; late swing; don't know; representative samples; survey weighting; online polling; question ordering; survey methodology; political polling; public opinion

3.

Aggregate Turnout Is Mismeasured

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 12 Jan 2018 Last Revised: 06 Feb 2018
University of Manchester, University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 1,155 (18,252)

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turnout, vep, vap, idea, aggregate, comparative politics, error, measurement, bias

4.

Brexit or Corbyn? Campaign and Inter-Election Vote Switching in the 2017 UK General Election

Jonathan Mellon, Geoffrey Evans, Edward Fieldhouse, Jane Green, Christopher Prosser; Brexit or Corbyn? Campaign and Inter-Election Vote Switching in the 2017 UK General Election, Parliamentary Affairs, DOI: org/10.1093/pa/gsy001
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 21 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 28 May 2018
University of Manchester, University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 658 (40,504)

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2017 British election, british election study, vote switching, UKIP, Brexit

5.

Twitter and Facebook are Not Representative of the General Population: Political Attitudes and Demographics of Social Media Users

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 09 Jun 2016
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 546 (51,637)
Citation 7

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6.

Mainstream Protest Voting: Did Voters Choose Brexit and Corbyn because they expected them to lose?

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 04 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 10 Jun 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 328 (95,115)

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expressive voting, British politics, expectations, EU referendum, Brexit, British Election Study

7.

When Attitudes and Behaviour Collide: How the Scottish Independence Referendum Cost Labour

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 28 Apr 2016
Edward A. Fieldhouse and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 260 (122,131)
Citation 1

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referendum, realignment, social identity, Scottish National Party, Labour Party, British politics, Scottish politics

8.

Spurious Time Trends Explain the Relationship between Survey Nonresponse and Mass Polarization: A Comment on Cavari and Freedman (2018)

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 14 Mar 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 150 (204,208)

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Polarization, non-response bias, spurious correlation, time trend

9.

Correcting Polling Error in Over-Engaged Samples Using Representative Turnout Weighting

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 24 Jan 2016
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 130 (227,895)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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polling miss; british election 2015; representative samples; survey weighting; online polling; survey methodology; political polling; public opinion

10.

Authoritarianism, Social Structure and Economic Policy Preferences

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 16 Apr 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 123 (239,030)

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authoritarianism, left right, dimensions, public opinions, british elections, elite, mass, libertarianism

11.

Which Promises Actually Matter? Election Pledge Centrality and Promissory Representation

Number of pages: 65 Posted: 13 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 24 Nov 2019
Jonathan Mellon, Christopher Prosser, Jordan Urban and Adam Feldman
University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Cambridge and University of Warwick
Downloads 117 (246,679)

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promise keeping, promissory representation, UK politics, manifestos, pledge fulfillment, brexit, EU

12.

The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses

Prosser, C., & Mellon, J. (2018). The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses. Government and Opposition, 1-34. DOI:10.1017/gov.2018.7
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 04 Jun 2018
Christopher Prosser and Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 51 (399,409)

Abstract:

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polling, survey error, non-probability samples, late swing, shy voters, turnout filtering, representative samples, survey weighting

13.

Constructing Continuous Household Income Measurement on the British Election Study Internet Panel

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 04 May 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 21 (535,459)
Citation 1

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