U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention - CDC COVID-19 Response Team, Imperial College London, Imperial College London - Department of Mathematics, University of Cape Town (UCT), University College London - Institute for Global Health, Maestral International, Imperial College London - Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, University of Oxford, Imperial College London - NIHR Health Protection Research Unit for Modelling and Health Economics, Government of the United States of America - CDC COVID-19 Response, Prevention of Violence Unit, World Health Organization, USAID, World Bank - Latin America & the Caribbean Region, World Without Orphans and Harvard University - Department of Pediatrics

Imperial College London, Government of the United States of America - Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), University of Cape Town (UCT), University of Oxford - Department of Computer Science, Maestral International, Prevention of Violence Unit, World Health Organization, USAID, World Bank - Latin America & the Caribbean Region, University of Oxford, Imperial College London - Department of Mathematics, World Without Orphans, Harvard University - Department of Pediatrics, Imperial College London, Imperial College London - NIHR Health Protection Research Unit for Modelling and Health Economics, University of the Witwatersrand, Government of the United States of America - Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and University College London - Institute for Global Health

Imperial College London - MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College London, University of Padua - Azienda Ospedale Padova, University of Padua - Azienda Ospedale Padova, University of Padua - Azienda Ospedale Padova, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Padua - Azienda Ospedale Padova, University of Padua - Azienda Ospedale Padova, University of Padua - Azienda Ospedale Padova, University of Padua - Azienda Ospedale Padova, University of Padua - Azienda Ospedale Padova, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, Department of Surgery, Oncology and Gastroenterology, University of Padova, Imperial College London, University of Padua, University of Padua - Department of Medicine, University of Padua - Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine, Imperial College London - MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, University of Oxford and University of Padua - DMM Department of Molecular Medicine

University of Oxford and University of Oxford