John M. Roberts

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

20th Street and Constitution Avenue NW

Washington, DC 20551

United States

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SCHOLARLY PAPERS

21

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296

Scholarly Papers (21)

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1.

Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 19 Dec 2004
John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 2,674 (10,409)
Citation 50

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2.

Inflation Expectations and the Transmission of Monetary Policy

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 25 Feb 1999
John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 1,311 (31,458)
Citation 11

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3.

What's Happened to the Phillips Curve?

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 10 Jan 2000
Flint Brayton, John M. Roberts and John C. Williams
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Downloads 684 (77,273)
Citation 15

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4.

The Wage Curve and the Phillips Curve

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 01 Jun 1998
John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 472 (122,769)
Citation 3

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5.

How Well Does the New Keynesian Sticky Price Model Fit the Data?

FRB FEDS Discussion Paper No. 2001-13
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 19 Mar 2001
John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 365 (165,529)
Citation 48

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Inflation, Phillips Curve, New Keynesian Economics

6.

From Many Series, One Cycle: Improved Estimates of the Business Cycle from a Multivariate Unobserved Components Model

FEDS Working Paper No. 2011-46
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 10 Nov 2011
Charles A. Fleischman and John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 192 (315,360)
Citation 13

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Business cycles, output gap, potential output, state-space model, Kalman filter, NAIRU, measurement error

7.

Estimates of the Productivity Trend Using Time-Varying Parameter Techniques

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 23 Feb 2001
John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 180 (334,309)
Citation 13

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Growth, productivity, new economy, time-varying parameter techniques

8.

Is Hysteresis Important for U.S. Unemployment?

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 01 Mar 2000
John M. Roberts and Norman J. Morin
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 171 (349,785)

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9.

The Role of Expectations in Changed Inflation Dynamics

FEDS Working Paper No. 2018-62
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 17 Sep 2018 Last Revised: 21 Feb 2019
Damjan Pfajfar and John M. Roberts
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 154 (382,285)
Citation 9

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10.

Expectations Formation and the Effectiveness of Strategies for Limiting the Consequences of the Zero Bound on Interest Rates

FEDS Working Paper No. 2005-70
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 11 Jan 2006
David Reifschneider and John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 151 (390,811)
Citation 9

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Zero bound, monetary policy, expectations formation, macroeconomic models

11.

Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World

FEDS Working Paper No. 2017-80
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 07 Sep 2017
Michael T. Kiley and John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 133 (429,988)
Citation 63

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12.

Modeling Aggregate Investment: A Fundamentalist Approach

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 04 Dec 2003
John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 133 (429,988)

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Investment, adjustment costs, putty-clay

13.

Monetary Policy Strategies for a Low-Rate Environment

FEDS Working Paper No. 2019-9
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 19 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 23 Feb 2019
Ben S. Bernanke, Michael T. Kiley and John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 130 (437,729)
Citation 55

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interest rates, Model comparison, Monetary policy

14.

Using Structural Shocks to Identify Models of Investment

FEDS Working Paper No. 2005-69
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 11 Jan 2006
John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 114 (483,937)

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Investment, adjustment costs, identified VAR

15.

When Can Trend-Cycle Decompositions Be Trusted?

FEDS Working Paper No. 2016-99
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 21 Dec 2016
Manuel González-Astudillo and John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 97 (542,724)
Citation 3

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unobserved component model, Trend-cycle decomposition, Trend-cycle correlation

16.

When Are Trend-Cycle Decompositions of GDP Reliable?

Empirical Economics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 16 Jul 2021
Manuel González-Astudillo and John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 46 (796,430)
Citation 1

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Unobserved components model, trend-cycle decomposition, trend-cycle correlation, Bayesian estimation

17.

New Estimates of Federal Government Tangible Capital and Net Investment

NBER Working Paper No. w1774
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 19 Jun 2004 Last Revised: 07 Nov 2022
Michael J. Boskin, Marc S. Robinson and John M. Roberts
Stanford University - The Hoover Institution on War, Revolution and Peace, Independent and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 38 (856,633)
Citation 3

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18.

November 2014 Update of the Frb/Us Model

FEDS Notes No. 2014-11-21-2
Posted: 09 Jul 2021
Jean-Philippe Laforte and John M. Roberts
affiliation not provided to SSRN and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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19.

Inflation Thresholds and Policy-Rule Inertia: Some Simulation Results

FEDS Notes No. 2021-04-12
https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2899
Posted: 23 Apr 2021
Cristina Fuentes-Albero and John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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20.

An Estimate of the Long-Term Neutral Rate of Interest

FEDS Notes No. 2018-09-05
Posted: 17 Sep 2018 Last Revised: 14 Dec 2020
John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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21.

November 2014 Update of the FRB/US Model

FEDS Notes No. 2014-11-21-2 https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.0036
Posted: 16 Dec 2014
Jean-Philippe Laforte and John M. Roberts
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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