Reducing Strategic Default in a Financial Crisis

58 Pages Posted: 9 Nov 2021 Last revised: 16 Nov 2021

See all articles by Sumit Agarwal

Sumit Agarwal

National University of Singapore

Vyacheslav Mikhed

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Barry Scholnick

University of Alberta - Department of Marketing, Business Economics & Law

Man Zhang

The University of Sydney

Date Written: November, 2021

Abstract

We document that increasing penalties for default reduces strategic default in financial crises by exploiting the 2009 changes to Canadian consumer insolvency regulations. Our novelty is that the incentives from increasing penalties for default operate in the opposite direction from incentives in more typical financial crisis policy interventions, which increase the liquidity of debtors. We can identify strategic default because our policy intervention is independent of debtors’ liquidity and initial selection into long-term debt contracts. Our results imply that even insolvent debtors can be incentivized to reduce default during financial crises without the typical interventions, which increase debtors’ liquidity

Keywords: strategic default, financial crisis

JEL Classification: G01, G21, G51

Suggested Citation

Agarwal, Sumit and Mikhed, Vyacheslav and Scholnick, Barry and Zhang, Man, Reducing Strategic Default in a Financial Crisis (November, 2021). FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 21-36, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3959436 or http://dx.doi.org/10.21799/frbp.wp.2021.36

Sumit Agarwal

National University of Singapore ( email )

15 Kent Ridge Drive
Singapore, 117592
Singapore
8118 9025 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.ushakrisna.com

Vyacheslav Mikhed

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ( email )

Ten Independence Mall
Philadelphia, PA 19106-1574
United States

Barry Scholnick (Contact Author)

University of Alberta - Department of Marketing, Business Economics & Law ( email )

Edmonton, Alberta T6G 2R6
Canada

Man Zhang

The University of Sydney

University of Sydney
Sydney, NSW 2006
Australia

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