Context-Dependent Risk Preferences and Decoy Effects

62 Pages Posted: 24 Jan 2025

See all articles by Fabian Herweg

Fabian Herweg

University of Bayreuth - Faculty of Law, Business and Economics

Daniel Müller

University of Würzburg

Asri Özgümüs

University of Würzburg

Fabio Römeis

University of Würzburg

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: January 03, 2025

Abstract

We present a theory of context-dependent risk preferences under which within-state payoff comparisons and regret aversion shape decisions. Defining the attraction and compromise effect in reference to a state-space-based description of the choice problem, we show that our theory can account for both these prominent decoy effects. We test our theoretical predictions with an online experiment, including comparative statics results. We find strong evidence for the attraction and the compromise effect. Furthermore, we find some supportive evidence for our comparative static predictions and weakly diminishing sensitivity regarding ex-post regret.

Keywords: asymmetric dominance effect, attraction effect, compromise effect, context-dependent preferences, correlation-sensitive preferences, decoy effect, regret theory

JEL Classification: C910, D010.D810, D910, M310

Suggested Citation

Herweg, Fabian and Müller, Daniel and Özgümüs, Asri and Römeis, Fabio, Context-Dependent Risk Preferences and Decoy Effects (January 03, 2025). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 11611, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5109945 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5109945

Fabian Herweg (Contact Author)

University of Bayreuth - Faculty of Law, Business and Economics ( email )

Universitätsstraße 30
Bayreuth, 95447
Germany

Daniel Müller

University of Würzburg ( email )

Sanderring 2
Würzburg, 97070
Germany

Asri Özgümüs

University of Würzburg ( email )

Sanderring 2
Würzburg, D-97070
Germany

Fabio Römeis

University of Würzburg ( email )

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