Context-dependent Risk Preferences and Decoy Effects

60 Pages Posted: 31 Jan 2025

See all articles by Daniel Müller

Daniel Müller

University of Würzburg

Asri Özgümüs

University of Würzburg

Fabio Römeis

University of Würzburg

Fabian Herweg

University of Bayreuth - Faculty of Law, Business and Economics

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Date Written: December 14, 2024

Abstract

We present a theory of context-dependent risk preferences under which within-state payoff comparisons and regret aversion shape decisions. Defining the attraction and compromise effect in reference to a state-space-based description of the choice problem, we show that our theory can account for both these prominent decoy effects. We test our theoretical predictions with an online experiment, including comparative statics results. We find strong evidence for the attraction and the compromise effect. Furthermore, we find some supportive evidence for our comparative static predictions and weakly diminishing sensitivity regarding ex-post regret.

Keywords: attraction effect, compromise effect, correlation-sensitive preferences, decoy effect, regret theory, asymmetric dominance effect, context-dependent preferences

JEL Classification: C91, D01, D81, D91, M31

Suggested Citation

Müller, Daniel and Özgümüs, Asri and Römeis, Fabio and Herweg, Fabian, Context-dependent Risk Preferences and Decoy Effects (December 14, 2024). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5056507 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5056507

Daniel Müller (Contact Author)

University of Würzburg ( email )

Sanderring 2
Würzburg, 97070
Germany

Asri Özgümüs

University of Würzburg ( email )

Sanderring 2
Würzburg, D-97070
Germany

Fabio Römeis

University of Würzburg ( email )

Fabian Herweg

University of Bayreuth - Faculty of Law, Business and Economics ( email )

Universitätsstraße 30
Bayreuth, 95447
Germany

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