Undefined benefit: Projections and anchors as guides to retirement decumulation

49 Pages Posted: 30 Apr 2025

See all articles by Ben R. Newell

Ben R. Newell

University of New South Wales (UNSW)

Hazel Bateman

UNSW Australia Business School, School of Risk & Actuarial Studies; UNSW Business School

Loretti Dobrescu

UNSW Australia Business School, School of Economics

Jake Embrey

University of Chicago - Booth School of Business

Rochelle Nian

University of New South Wales (UNSW) - School of Psychology

Susan Thorp

The University of Sydney Business School

Date Written: March 26, 2025

Abstract

Most defined contribution retirement income systems assume that retiring participants have the know-how and confidence to turn their lump sum savings into lifelong income. Surprisingly slow withdrawals by retired defined contribution participants cast doubt on this assumption. In this study, we conduct three rounds of lab-in-the-field experiments that give updating information about withdrawal plans to near-to-retirement defined contribution plan participants. We show that income projections induce slightly higher rates of withdrawal but this influence is dominated by income anchors. Giving participants basic information and the opportunity to engage in the decision process through interactive education tools has the potential to improve their wellbeing in retirement.

Keywords: retirement incomes, defined contribution, decision-making, anchoring JEL codes: D14, G40, G51, G53

JEL Classification: D14, G51, G40, G53

Suggested Citation

Newell, Ben R. and Bateman, Hazel and Dobrescu, Loretti Isabella and Embrey, Jake and Nian, Rochelle and Thorp, Susan, Undefined benefit: Projections and anchors as guides to retirement decumulation (March 26, 2025). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5193779 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5193779

Ben R. Newell

University of New South Wales (UNSW) ( email )

Hazel Bateman

UNSW Australia Business School, School of Risk & Actuarial Studies ( email )

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Loretti Isabella Dobrescu

UNSW Australia Business School, School of Economics ( email )

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Jake Embrey

University of Chicago - Booth School of Business ( email )

Rochelle Nian

University of New South Wales (UNSW) - School of Psychology ( email )

Susan Thorp (Contact Author)

The University of Sydney Business School ( email )

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