Determinants of Poverty Vulnerability in Uganda

31 Pages Posted: 23 Apr 2007

See all articles by Charles Augustine Abuka

Charles Augustine Abuka

Bank of Uganda

Michael Atingi-Ego

Bank of Uganda - Research Department

Jacob Opolot

Bank of Uganda - Research Department

Patrick Okello

Uganda Bureau of Statistics

Date Written: February 2007

Abstract

Ugandan data shows poverty to be entrenched in rural areas and in large households. Households with heads exposed to education, an improved health status, less reliance on agriculture as the most important source of earnings, access to electricity for lighting and, the presence of markets to sell produce in the community experience improved household well-being. The data also confirms two known stylized facts regarding poverty vulnerability. First, households in the Northern region have a higher probability of being poor than those in Central, Eastern, and Western regions. Second, the 'annual cropping and cattle northern' and 'annual cropping and cattle Teso' zones are the agro ecological zones that are positively correlated with poverty vulnerability. The fact that residence in rural areas is associated with higher incidence of poverty suggests that promotion of off-farm employment (for example, through rural electrification) would help reduce vulnerability.

Keywords: Poverty vulnerability, logistic regression, Uganda

JEL Classification: I32, Q18

Suggested Citation

Abuka, Charles Augustine and Atingi-Ego, Michael and Opolot, Jacob and Okello, Patrick, Determinants of Poverty Vulnerability in Uganda (February 2007). IIIS Discussion Paper No. 203. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=980635 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.980635

Charles Augustine Abuka (Contact Author)

Bank of Uganda ( email )

P.O. Box 7120
37/43 Kampala Road
Kampala
Uganda

Michael Atingi-Ego

Bank of Uganda - Research Department

P.O. Box 7120
37/43 Kampala Road
Kampala
Uganda

Jacob Opolot

Bank of Uganda - Research Department ( email )

P.O. Box 7120
37/43 Kampala Road
Kampala
Uganda

Patrick Okello

Uganda Bureau of Statistics ( email )

P.O. Box 7186
Kampala
Uganda

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