Enabling Entrepreneurial Choice
31 Pages Posted: 2 Jun 2020 Last revised: 20 Nov 2020
Date Written: November 19, 2020
Entrepreneurs must choose between alternative strategies for bringing their idea to market. They face uncertainty regarding both the quality of their idea as well as the efficacy of each strategy. While entrepreneurs can reduce this uncertainty by conducting tests, any single test conflates the signal of the efficacy of the particular strategy and the quality of the idea. Resolving this conflation requires exploring multiple strategies. Consequently, entrepreneurial choice is enhanced by finding ways to lower the cost of testing multiple strategies, receiving guidance as to the types of tests likely to reduce signal conflation, and optimally sequencing tests based on prior beliefs. This creates a role for judgment that may be provided by trusted third parties such as mentors and investors. We hypothesize that institutions that lower the cost of transmitting and aggregating judgment spur entrepreneurial performance.
Keywords: startups, entrepreneurial strategy, experimentation, uncertainty, accelerators, judgment.
JEL Classification: D83, O31
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation