The Effect of the Risk of Out-of-Pocket Spending for Health Care on Economic Preparation for Retirement

29 Pages Posted: 17 Nov 2010

See all articles by Michael D. Hurd

Michael D. Hurd

RAND Corporation; State University of New York at Stony Brook - College of Arts and Science - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Susann Rohwedder

RAND Corporation

Date Written: September 1, 2010

Abstract

After retirement, the primary sources of uncertainty with respect to an individual’s economic status are longevity, investment outcomes and out-of-pocket spending on health care. In previous work, we estimated economic preparation for retirement, taking into account the risk of living to an advanced old age and the concomitant risk of running out of resources. But while we accounted for the average level out-of-pocket spending for health care, we did not account for the risk of out-of-pocket spending. In this paper we augment our model for this omission. We find that the risk of out-of-pocket health care spending reduces economic preparation for retirement from about 72% of persons in the age range 65-69 to about 63%. However, this relatively modest reduction is quite unequally distributed: about 57% of single persons are adequately prepared when health care spending is not stochastic, but just 44% when it is. Among single women who are not high school graduates the percentage adequately prepared declines from 33% to 15%.

Suggested Citation

Hurd, Michael D. and Rohwedder, Susann, The Effect of the Risk of Out-of-Pocket Spending for Health Care on Economic Preparation for Retirement (September 1, 2010). Michigan Retirement Research Center Research Paper No. 2010-232, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1710143 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1710143

Michael D. Hurd (Contact Author)

RAND Corporation ( email )

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State University of New York at Stony Brook - College of Arts and Science - Department of Economics ( email )

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National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Susann Rohwedder

RAND Corporation ( email )

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